Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.