Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.