Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leuven in this match.