Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leuven in this match.

Result
Leuven	Draw	Mechelen
47.11% ( -0.28)	25.07% ( 0.09)	27.81% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 54.01% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01% (

-0.27)

48.99% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.93% (

-0.24)

71.07% (

0.24)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.18% (

-0.23)

20.82% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.5% (

-0.36)

53.49% (

0.36)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.21% (

31.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.78% (

68.21% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Leuven 47.11%

Mechelen 27.81%

Draw 25.07%

Leuven	Draw	Mechelen
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.11%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.81%