Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.