Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 23, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
2 - 0
Go Ahead Eagles

Brobbey (56'), Valaker Edvardsen (86')
Kaplan (32'), Godts (36')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nauber (8')
Nauber (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 1-2 Union SG
Thursday, February 20 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Sparta
Friday, February 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
60.46% ( -6.18)	20.33% ( 1.53)	19.21% ( 4.65)

Both teams to score 59.46% (

4.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.15% (

1.58)

36.85% (

-1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.97% (

1.69)

59.02% (

-1.7)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.14% (

-1.17)

11.85% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.87% (

-2.55)

37.13% (

2.54)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45% (

6.4)

32.54% (

-6.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.92% (

6.59)

69.08% (

-6.6)

Score Analysis

Ajax 60.46%

Go Ahead Eagles 19.21%

Draw 20.33%

Ajax	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -1.63) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -1.08) 3-1 @ 7% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( -1.52) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.48) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -1.01) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.52) Other @ 4.29% Total : 60.46%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.9) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.39) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.33%	1-2 @ 5.18% ( 1.05) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.58) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.64) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.33) Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.21%