Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.