AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 8, 2025 at 7pm UK
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium
NEC

Groningen
2 - 1
Nijmegen

Prins (2'), van Bergen (31')
de Jonge (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)
van Crooij (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Groningen
Sunday, February 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

NEC

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-3 PSV
Saturday, February 1 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for NEC had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
GroningenDrawNEC
44.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)26.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.08% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.22% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)74.79% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26%23.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12%57.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (-0.012 -0.01)33.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (-0.012 -0.01)69.63% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 44.64%
    NEC 29.08%
    Draw 26.28%
GroningenDrawNEC
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.64%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.08%

How you voted: Groningen vs Nijmegen

Groningen
31.9%
Draw
27.7%
NEC
40.4%
47
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