Eredivisie | Gameweek 21

Feb 2, 2025 at 3.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 0
Groningen

Lauritsen (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Darri Willumsson (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Sparta
Sunday, January 26 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Groningen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Groningen
Tuesday, January 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Groningen
50.68% ( -0.01)	24.18% ( -0.08)	25.14% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 54.56% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.83% (

0.42)

47.17% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.59% (

0.39)

69.4% (

-0.39)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.36% (

0.16)

18.63% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.06% (

0.27)

49.94% (

-0.27)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

0.3)

32.94% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.47% (

0.33)

69.52% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 50.68%

Groningen 25.14%

Draw 24.18%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Groningen
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 50.68%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.18%	0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.14%