Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.