World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Al Maktoum Stadium

UAE
4 - 0
Nepal

Alhammadi (11'), Mabkhout (36' pen., 44'), Lima (45+1')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Shrestha (35'), Chaudhary (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and Nepal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

Last Game: UAE 2-1 Lebanon
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Nepal

Last Game: Laos 0-1 Nepal
Tuesday, October 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Nepal win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
United Arab Emirates	Draw	Nepal
58.89% ( -0)	24.26% ( 0)	16.85% ( 0)

Both teams to score 42.8% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.2% (

56.79% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.27% (

77.73% (

-0)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

19.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.2% (

50.79%

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.93% (

47.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.47% (

82.53% (

-0)

Score Analysis

United Arab Emirates 58.88%

Nepal 16.85%

Draw 24.25%

United Arab Emirates	Draw	Nepal
1-0 @ 14.89% 2-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 5.11% 4-0 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.88%	1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.79% 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.85%