World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 2nd Leg

Oct 17, 2023 at 1pm UK

National Stadium Ramat Gan

Laos
0 - 1
Nepal

(Nepal win 2-1 on aggregate)

Siphongphan (45+1'), Inthavong (81'), Kietnalonglop (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dangi (53')
Dangi (10'), Henjan (49')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Laos and Nepal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Laos

Last Game: Nepal 1-1 Laos
Thursday, October 12 at 12.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Nepal

Last Game: Nepal 1-1 Laos
Thursday, October 12 at 12.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Laos had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Laos win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nepal in this match.

Result
Laos	Draw	Nepal
26.49% ( -1.09)	24.73% ( -0.42)	48.78% ( 1.51)

Both teams to score 54.06% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57% (

1.02)

48.42% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44% (

0.92)

70.56% (

-0.92)

Laos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.48% (

-0.31)

32.51% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.96% (

-0.35)

69.04% (

0.35)

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

1.05)

19.89% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.99% (

1.67)

52.01% (

-1.67)

Score Analysis

Laos 26.49%

Nepal 48.77%

Draw 24.72%

Laos	Draw	Nepal
1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.49%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.87% Total : 48.77%