Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Laos had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Laos win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.