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World Cup

Nepal national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg
Oct 12, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Dashrath Rangasala
Laos national football team

Nepal
1 - 1
Laos

Bista (48')
Limbu (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bounkong (33')
Wenpaserth (76')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Nepal and Laos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nepal

Last Game: Myanmar 1-0 Nepal
Monday, September 11 at 11.30am in International Friendlies

Laos

Last Game: Nepal 2-1 Laos
Friday, March 31 at 12.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Laos had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Laos win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
NepalDrawLaos
53.64% (1.241 1.24)24.12% (-0.586 -0.59)22.23% (-0.659 -0.66)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.966 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28% (1.684 1.68)49.71% (-1.689 -1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (1.489 1.49)71.72% (-1.493 -1.49)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54% (1.128 1.13)18.46% (-1.133 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35% (1.874 1.87)49.64% (-1.88 -1.88)
Laos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (0.314 0.31)36.94% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (0.313 0.31)73.72% (-0.318 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Nepal 53.64%
    Laos 22.23%
    Draw 24.12%
NepalDrawLaos
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.118 0.12)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.212 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.257 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.15 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.168 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.185 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.64%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.481 -0.48)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.416 -0.42)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.38% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 22.23%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 12.45pm
Friendlies 3
Nepal
2-1
Laos
Mar 22, 2023 12.15pm
Friendlies 3
Nepal
2-0
Laos
Tamang (30'), Shrestha (55')