NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 31

Mar 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Oval

Glentoran
3 - 3
Glenavon

Thomson (54'), Jenkins (69', 71')

FT(HT: 0-2)

O'Connor (13'), Lynch (30'), McGovern (75')
Byrne (59'), O'Connor (60'), Campbell (89')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glentoran

All competitions

Last Game: Glentoran 1-0 Ballymena
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Glenavon

All competitions

Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Coleraine
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Glentoran	Draw	Glenavon
46.69% ( 0.2)	27.02% ( -0.07)	26.29% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 47.06% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.52% (

0.18)

57.48% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.72% (

0.14)

78.28% (

-0.14)

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

0.17)

24.62% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.87% (

0.24)

59.13% (

-0.25)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.43% (

-0.01)

37.57% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.65% (

-0.01)

74.35% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Glentoran 46.69%

Glenavon 26.29%

Draw 27.02%

Glentoran	Draw	Glenavon
1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.69%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 26.29%