NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Glentoran
1 - 0
Ballymena

Ferris (56')
Hvid (40'), Wightman (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jarvis (38'), O'Donnell (78'), Lafferty (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glentoran

All competitions
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-0 Glentoran
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 2-0 Portadown
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Glentoran in this match.

Result
GlentoranDrawBallymena United
55.61% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)26.14% (-0.224 -0.22)18.24% (0.21 0.21)
Both teams to score 40.42% (0.825 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.69% (0.91 0.91)61.3% (-0.916 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.78% (0.673 0.67)81.22% (-0.679 -0.68)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (0.38799999999999 0.39)22.26% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (0.584 0.58)55.7% (-0.589 -0.59)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.99% (0.80399999999999 0.8)48% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.76% (0.583 0.58)83.23% (-0.589 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 55.6%
    Ballymena United 18.24%
    Draw 26.13%
GlentoranDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 16.05% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-0 @ 12.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 6.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 55.6%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.68% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 3.25% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.32% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 18.24%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Ballymena
1-1
Glentoran
Moore (90+4')
Gawne (74'), O'Donnell (90+1')
Pattison (57')
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Ballymena
1-0
Glentoran
Kennedy (90+6')
Carson (35'), McMurray (72'), Kennedy (90+3')

Kane (40'), Hvid (45+1'), Singleton (76'), McClean (90+3')
Kane (74')
Mar 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Glentoran
4-0
Ballymena
McCullough (21'), O'Connor (60', 66'), McCartan (63')
McCartan (43'), Clucas (70')

Place (49')
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Glentoran
5-0
Ballymena
Wilson (23'), Ogedi-Uzokwe (26', 29'), Singleton (36'), Fisher (49')
Wilson (56'), Russell (71')

Whiteside (45+3'), Rocks (60'), McCullough (61'), Boyle (71'), Burns (77')
Rocks (65')
Aug 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Ballymena
0-2
Glentoran

McGuigan (25'), Graham (29'), Rocks (80'), Nelson (90+1')
Graham (71')
Ogedi-Uzokwe (7'), Donnelly (90+4')
Palmer (53'), Ogedi-Uzokwe (69'), Donnelly (79'), Kelly (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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