NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 30
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
2 - 0
Portadown

Hood (26'), Moore (90+4')
Jarvis (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wylie (24'), Altintop (78')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Portadown.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 1-1 Glentoran
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 2-0 Larne
Saturday, February 15 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawPortadown
33.43% (0.021999999999998 0.02)26.23%40.34% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (0.007000000000005 0.01)51.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)73.31% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)29.14% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.92% (0.022999999999996 0.02)65.08% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.14% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)59.85% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 33.43%
    Portadown 40.33%
    Draw 26.22%
Ballymena UnitedDrawPortadown
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.43%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 40.33%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ballymena
0-3
Portadown

Carson (34'), Rocks (90+1')
Ukek (79'), Mayse (81'), Fyfe (86')
Altintop (23'), McCartan (58'), Mayse (82')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Portadown
0-1
Ballymena

McCawl (35')
Devine (45')
Devine (18'), Kennedy (87'), Devlin (90+4')
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Portadown
1-0
Ballymena
Friel (10')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Portadown
1-0
Ballymena
Archer (37')
rhs 2.0


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