NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
2 - 2
Linfield

Rocks (25'), McEleney (90+2' pen.)
Scott (68'), McMurray (81'), (90+8'), Loughran (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fitzpatrick (12'), McClean (90+11')
McKee (90+1')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 2-1 Ballymena
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Linfield

All competitions
Last Game: Linfield 2-1 Crusaders
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawLinfield
18.57% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)23.41% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)58.02% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.11% (0.231 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.67% (0.304 0.3)51.33% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (0.264 0.26)73.15% (-0.261 -0.26)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.28% (0.186 0.19)41.73% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (0.16 0.16)78.2% (-0.15700000000001 -0.16)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.136 0.14)17.44% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (0.235 0.23)47.89% (-0.232 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 18.57%
    Linfield 58.01%
    Draw 23.41%
Ballymena UnitedDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 6.36% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.85% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.41% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.57%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 12.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 11.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.65% (0.035 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.82% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.47% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 0.99% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 58.01%

How you voted: Ballymena vs Linfield

Ballymena United
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Linfield
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Linfield
2-0
Ballymena
Annett (78', 90')
Cooper (90+3')

O'Donnell (54'), McMurray (58'), Brown (80'), Brown (86')
O'Donnell (68')
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Ballymena
0-2
Linfield

O'Donnell (2'), Carson (18'), Kennedy (59'), Loughran (66'), Jarvis (89')
McKee (55'), Shields (82' pen.)
Shields (50')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Linfield
2-0
Ballymena
McClean (55'), Fitzpatrick (78')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Linfield
4-0
Ballymena
Fitzpatrick (10', 78'), Millar (23'), McClean (66')
East (49')

McGrory (36')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Ballymena
0-1
Linfield

Nelson (35'), McGuigan (40'), Place (53'), McCullough (60'), Graham (73'), McMurray (87')
McKee (83')
Shields (65')
rhs 2.0


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