NIFL Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Seaview
  • Conor Barr 13' goal
  • 14' yellowcard
  • Jacob Blaney 21' goal
  • Lewis Barr 29' yellowcard
  • Philip Lowry 33' yellowcard
  • Mal Smith 51' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 60' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Jordan Stewart 86' yellowcard
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 90' goal
  • Harry Franklin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick McEleney 23'
  • yellowcard Success Edogun 31'
  • yellowcard Caolan Loughran 90'+2'

Crusaders vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
Larne 0 - 1 Crusaders
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Kieran Offord

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 7, 2025 7.45pm
Ballymena 2 - 2 Linfield
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ben Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 54.1% (+0.26)
Draw 23.6% (-0.01)
Ballymena United 22.29% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.13% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.5% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 47.49% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 30.3% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 69.7% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 14.88% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 85.12% (+0.16)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 82.54% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.46% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 52.06% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47.93% (-0.01)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 64.36% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 35.63% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 27.6% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 72.4% (+0.39)

Score analysis

Crusaders 54.09%
Draw 23.6%
Ballymena United 22.29%
Crusaders
1-0 @ 10.85% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.48% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.69% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.41% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 6.22% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.6%
Ballymena United
0-1 @ 6.42% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 22.29%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Ross Clarke 53' yellowcard
  • Kieran Offord 65' goal
  • Robbie Weir 88' yellowcard
  • Harry Franklin 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan McMurray 20'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 31'
  • yellowcard Kym Nelson 77'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Stephen O'Donnell 31' yellowcard
  • Jonathan McMurray 47' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Offord 5'
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 19'
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 76'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Steven McCullough 8' yellowcard
  • Kym Nelson 18' goal
  • Fraser Taylor 28' goal
  • Kym Nelson 81' yellowcard
  • Fraser Taylor 85' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Lecky 11'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 54'
  • yellowcard Adam Lecky 59'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 67'
  • goal Paul Heatley 71'
  • goal Jarlath O'Rourke 74'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 12
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Seaview
  • Adam Lecky 45' goal
  • Lloyd Anderson 61' yellowcard
  • Josh Robinson 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven McCullough 76'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Showgrounds
  • John McGuigan 31' yellowcard
  • Colin Coates 60' redcard
  • Scot Whiteside 79' yellowcard
  • Ryan Strain 90'+7' goal
  • goal Adam Lecky 16'
  • goal Jarlath O'Rourke 29'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds