NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 29

Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 1
Ballymena

Barr (13' og.), Blaney (21'), O'Rourke (90')
(14'), Barr (29'), Lowry (33'), Smith (51'), Forsythe (60'), (76'), Stewart (86'), Franklin (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

McEleney (23' pen.)
Edogun (31'), Loughran (90+2')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions

Last Game: Larne 0-1 Crusaders
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Ballymena United

All competitions

Last Game: Ballymena 2-2 Linfield
Friday, February 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Ballymena United
54.1% ( 0.26)	23.6% ( -0.01)	22.29% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 53.13% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5% (

-0.25)

47.49% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.3% (

-0.23)

69.7% (

0.23)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54% (

0.01)

17.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.06% (

0.01)

47.93% (

-0.01)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.36% (

-0.37)

35.63% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.6% (

-0.38)

72.4% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 54.09%

Ballymena United 22.29%

Draw 23.6%

Crusaders	Draw	Ballymena United
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 54.09%	1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 22.29%