Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.