NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Feb 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Solitude

Cliftonville
3 - 0
Carrick

Hale (29'), Parsons (62'), McGuinness (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cherry (62')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cliftonville

All competitions
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-2 Portadown
Sunday, February 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Coleraine
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
CliftonvilleDrawCarrick Rangers
57.29% (0.124 0.12)22.98% (-0.087 -0.09)19.72% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.223 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98% (0.322 0.32)48.02% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81% (0.296 0.3)70.19% (-0.294 -0.29)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (0.158 0.16)16.51% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (0.282 0.28)46.25% (-0.28 -0.28)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (0.152 0.15)38.51% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (0.142 0.14)75.26% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Cliftonville 57.28%
    Carrick Rangers 19.72%
    Draw 22.97%
CliftonvilleDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 57.28%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 22.97%
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 19.72%

How you voted: Cliftonville vs Carrick

Cliftonville
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Carrick Rangers
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Carrick
2-0
Cliftonville
Purkis (24'), Clucas (62')
Forsythe (44'), Heatley (71'), Purkis (87')

Gormley (64'), Addis (85')
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Carrick
0-1
Cliftonville

Watson (80')
Casey (90+4')
Hale (58')
Nov 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Carrick
0-3
Cliftonville

Mitchell (23'), Glendinning (71')
Hale (17'), Hale (68'), Mallon (83')
Casey (64'), Hale (73'), Ashford (88')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cliftonville
4-0
Carrick
Wilson (6', 42'), Doherty (23' pen.), Hale (64')
Pepper (88')

Cushley (9'), Crowe (60'), McGuckin (90+1')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Carrick
3-3
Cliftonville
Cushley (30'), Cherry (51'), Anderson (90')
Ives (15'), Moore (31'), Hale (45+4')
rhs 2.0


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