NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 30
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
0 - 1
Crusaders


McDaid (42'), O'Connor (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Larmour (44')
Weir (25'), O'Rourke (56'), Larmour (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Glenavon
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Ballymena
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
38.94% (0.056000000000004 0.06)27.01% (0.0010000000000012 0)34.05% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.43% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)54.57% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)75.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (0.024999999999991 0.02)27.32% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (0.030999999999999 0.03)62.77% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)30.27% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)66.44% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 38.93%
    Crusaders 34.05%
    Draw 27%
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.93%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.05%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Glenavon
3-1
Crusaders
O'Connor (43'), Campbell (62'), McDaid (73' og.)
Haughey (28'), O'Connor (38'), Malone (65')
Lowry (19')
Blaney (12'), Clarke (55'), Owens (87')
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Crusaders
0-1
Glenavon

Stewart (26'), Forsythe (48'), Lowry (55'), Nixon (90+2'), Campbell (90+4'), O'Rourke (90+4')
O'Connor (18')
Toure (72'), Jewitt-White (90+4')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crusaders
2-0
Glenavon
Winchester (10'), Kennedy (54')
Lowry (75')

Campbell (27'), Ward (83')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Glenavon
1-3
Crusaders
Malone (74')
Campbell (63')
O'Rourke (45+1'), Heatley (65'), Owens (90+3')
Heatley (58'), Larmour (79')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crusaders
2-0
Glenavon
Heatley (44'), Lowry (58')
Clarke (79')

Quinn (45')
Brown (82')
rhs 2.0


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