Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Chesham United	Draw	AFC Hornchurch
44.4% ( 2.34)	26.65% ( 0.07)	28.94% ( -2.41)

Both teams to score 49.87% (

-1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.28% (

-1.21)

54.72% (

1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.96% (

-1.01)

76.04% (

1.01)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

0.64)

24.51% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.02% (

0.88)

58.98% (

-0.89)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.07% (

-2.39)

33.93% (

2.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39% (

-2.67)

70.61% (

2.66)

Score Analysis

Chesham United 44.4%

AFC Hornchurch 28.94%

Draw 26.65%

Chesham United	Draw	AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.52% Total : 44.4%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.94%