National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Meadow

Chesham
2 - 0
Worthing

Weiss (32', 59')
Weiss (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cook (47'), Beard (75')
Rea (45+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Chesham 0-4 Lincoln
Monday, November 4 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-1 Aveley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.

Result
Chesham UnitedDrawWorthing
42.58% (0.079000000000001 0.08)23.22% (-0.084 -0.08)34.19% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.85% (0.328 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.45% (0.423 0.42)37.55% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.22% (0.452 0.45)59.78% (-0.448 -0.45)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.9% (0.21000000000001 0.21)18.1% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.96% (0.35 0.35)49.04% (-0.344 -0.34)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (0.205 0.2)22.04% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (0.304 0.3)55.38% (-0.298 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Chesham United 42.58%
    Worthing 34.19%
    Draw 23.22%
Chesham UnitedDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.82% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.8% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.99% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 34.19%