Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.

Result
Chesham United	Draw	Chippenham Town
48.25% ( 0.3)	24.23% ( -0.11)	27.51% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 56.53% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.44% (

0.34)

45.56% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.11% (

0.32)

67.89% (

-0.33)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.02% (

0.25)

18.97% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.49% (

0.42)

50.51% (

-0.42)

Chippenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.77% (

0.04)

30.23% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61% (

0.05)

66.39% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Chesham United 48.25%

Chippenham Town 27.51%

Draw 24.23%

Chesham United	Draw	Chippenham Town
1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 48.25%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.51%