Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.