National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Queen Elizabeth II Stadium (London)

Enfield Town
2 - 3
Chesham

Hutchinson (47'), Youngs (53' pen.)
Mills (10'), Smith (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cawley (33' pen., 89' pen.), Stevens (80')
Weiss (45+4'), Rowe (55'), Rolfe (76'), Adebiyi (90+6')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Enfield Town and Chesham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Enfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Enfield Town
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Chesham 3-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Enfield Town had a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Enfield Town win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.

Result
Enfield TownDrawChesham United
23.23% (-0.023 -0.02)23.72% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)53.05% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.92% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03)47.01% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)69.25% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Enfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.22% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.67% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.7% (0.048000000000002 0.05)48.29% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Enfield Town 23.23%
    Chesham United 53.04%
    Draw 23.72%
Enfield TownDrawChesham United
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 23.23%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-3 @ 5.63% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 2.29% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 53.04%

rhs 2.0


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