Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.

Result
Worthing	Draw	Aveley
49.7% ( 0.09)	21.55% ( -0)	28.74% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 67.19% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.03% (

-0.05)

31.97% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.47% (

-0.06)

53.53% (

0.06)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.62% (

0.01)

13.38% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.7% (

0.02)

40.3% (

-0.02)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.57% (

-0.08)

22.43% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05% (

-0.11)

55.95% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Worthing 49.7%

Aveley 28.74%

Draw 21.55%

Worthing	Draw	Aveley
2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.7%	1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.55%	1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 28.74%