Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.