FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Crown Meadow

Lowestoft
1 - 3
Weston

Haylock (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McCootie (48'), Coulson (63', 90+5')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Lowestoft Town and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Lowestoft 3-1 Haringey
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Welling United 1-3 Weston
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Lowestoft Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Lowestoft Town win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
Lowestoft TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
30.74% (0.094000000000001 0.09)23.44% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)45.82% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 61.52% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.04% (0.061 0.06)39.96% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.68% (0.063000000000002 0.06)62.32% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Lowestoft Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.087000000000003 0.09)25.19% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (0.122 0.12)59.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)17.75% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.56% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)48.44% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lowestoft Town 30.74%
    Weston-super-Mare 45.82%
    Draw 23.43%
Lowestoft TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 30.74%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.31% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 45.82%