FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying

Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Crown Meadow

Lowestoft
5 - 2
Newmarket Town

Reed (56', 68'), Haylock (65'), Sayer (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Santa De La Paz (84'), Leech (90+5' pen.)

Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Lowestoft Town and Newmarket Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lowestoft Town

Last Game: Lowestoft 6-2 Potters Bar Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Newmarket Town

Last Game: Ipswich Wanderers 0-1 Newmarket Town
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lowestoft Town win with a probability of 55.09%. A win for Newmarket Town had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lowestoft Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Newmarket Town win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lowestoft Town would win this match.

Result
Lowestoft Town	Draw	Newmarket Town
55.09% ( 0.01)	19.74% ( -0.01)	25.17% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 70.77% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.96% (

0.01)

26.04% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.74% (

0.01)

46.26% (

-0.01)

Lowestoft Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.13% (

9.87% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.27% (

0.01)

32.73% (

-0.01)

Newmarket Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.52% (

-0)

21.48% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.48% (

-0)

54.52%

Score Analysis

Lowestoft Town 55.09%

Newmarket Town 25.17%

Draw 19.74%

Lowestoft Town	Draw	Newmarket Town
2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.39% 4-1 @ 3.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 4.06% Total : 55.09%	1-1 @ 7.55% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.66% 0-0 @ 2.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 19.74%	1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% 0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.15% 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.17%