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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cricket Field Road

Newmarket Town
1 - 1
Ipswich Wanderers

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Newmarket Town and Ipswich Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newmarket Town

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Last Game: Wroxham 1-3 Newmarket Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Ipswich Wanderers

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Last Game: Downham Town 1-3 Ipswich Wanderers
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Wanderers win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Newmarket Town had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.76%) and 0-2 (5.02%). The likeliest Newmarket Town win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Newmarket TownDrawIpswich Wanderers
37.18% (0.038000000000004 0.04)22.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)40.22% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 66.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.18% (0.037999999999997 0.04)33.82% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.33% (0.043000000000006 0.04)55.67% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Newmarket Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (0.034999999999997 0.03)18.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65% (0.054000000000002 0.05)50.35% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Ipswich Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46% (0.007000000000005 0.01)17.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.08%
Score Analysis
    Newmarket Town 37.18%
    Ipswich Wanderers 40.22%
    Draw 22.6%
Newmarket TownDrawIpswich Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.22%