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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
SEH Sports Ground

Ipswich Wanderers
0 - 1
Newmarket Town

FT(HT: 0-0)
Mutswunguma (58')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between Ipswich Wanderers and Newmarket Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Wanderers

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Last Game: Newmarket Town 1-1 Ipswich Wanderers
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Newmarket Town

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Last Game: Newmarket Town 1-1 Ipswich Wanderers
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Wanderers win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Newmarket Town had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.88%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Newmarket Town win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich WanderersDrawNewmarket Town
39.66% (-2.348 -2.35)22.75% (-0.152 -0.15)37.59% (2.5 2.5)
Both teams to score 66.34% (1.006 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.44% (1.15 1.15)34.56% (-1.15 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.51% (1.281 1.28)56.49% (-1.28 -1.28)
Ipswich Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)18.09% (0.506 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.98% (-0.873 -0.87)49.02% (0.873 0.87)
Newmarket Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (1.719 1.72)19.01% (-1.719 -1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43% (2.78 2.78)50.57% (-2.78 -2.78)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Wanderers 39.66%
    Newmarket Town 37.59%
    Draw 22.75%
Ipswich WanderersDrawNewmarket Town
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-0 @ 5.88% (-0.456 -0.46)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.479 -0.48)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.264 -0.26)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.325 -0.33)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 39.66%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.93% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.44% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 2.19% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.258 0.26)
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.226 0.23)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.37 0.37)
2-3 @ 3.83% (0.258 0.26)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.256 0.26)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.242 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.59% (0.184 0.18)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.158 0.16)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.59%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
First Round Qualifying
Newmarket Town
1-1
Ipswich Wanderers