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FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Coles Park

Haringey
3 - 3
Lowestoft

Waight (13', 65', 74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duffy (7'), Haylock (51'), Sayer (90+1')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Haringey Borough and Lowestoft Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haringey Borough

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Last Game: Witham Town 1-1 Haringey (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Lowestoft Town

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Last Game: Lowestoft 5-2 Newmarket Town
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lowestoft Town win with a probability of 53.65%. A win for Haringey Borough had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lowestoft Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.58%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Haringey Borough win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Haringey BoroughDrawLowestoft Town
25.74% (5.939 5.94)20.6% (1.723 1.72)53.65% (-7.662 -7.66)
Both teams to score 68.04% (1.844 1.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.24% (-1.054 -1.05)29.76% (1.054 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.1% (-1.286 -1.29)50.9% (1.285 1.29)
Haringey Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (3.931 3.93)23.15% (-3.93 -3.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (5.432 5.43)57.03% (-5.433 -5.43)
Lowestoft Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.54% (-2.242 -2.24)11.46% (2.2421 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.72% (-5.094 -5.09)36.28% (5.094 5.09)
Score Analysis
    Haringey Borough 25.74%
    Lowestoft Town 53.65%
    Draw 20.6%
Haringey BoroughDrawLowestoft Town
2-1 @ 6.15% (1.075 1.08)
1-0 @ 3.88% (0.621 0.62)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.614 0.61)
3-1 @ 3% (0.79 0.79)
2-0 @ 2.84% (0.71 0.71)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.458 0.46)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.328 0.33)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.375 0.38)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 25.74%
1-1 @ 8.41% (0.636 0.64)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.611 0.61)
0-0 @ 2.65% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.35% (0.252 0.25)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.6%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.787 -0.79)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.868 -0.87)
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-3 @ 4.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.5% (-1.143 -1.14)
1-4 @ 3.56% (-0.828 -0.83)
2-4 @ 2.61% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-4 @ 2.44% (-0.926 -0.93)
1-5 @ 1.54% (-0.55 -0.55)
3-4 @ 1.27% (0.022 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.13% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-5 @ 1.06% (-0.548 -0.55)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 53.65%