National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium
Torquay United

Hornchurch
2 - 1
Torquay Utd

Nash (7'), Saunders (60')
Saunders (66'), Terry (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cooke (76')
Craske (33'), Moxey (79')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Hornchurch
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Worthing
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawTorquay United
30.49% (0.041999999999998 0.04)26.94% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)42.57% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.8% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82% (0.045000000000002 0.05)55.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58% (0.036999999999999 0.04)76.42% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (0.052999999999997 0.05)33.02% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (0.059000000000001 0.06)69.61% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)60.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 30.49%
    Torquay United 42.57%
    Draw 26.93%
AFC HornchurchDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.49%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 11.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.94%
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.57%

rhs 2.0


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