National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
0 - 0
Bath City

FT

Grimes (15'), Parselle (53'), Russe (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 2-2 Hornchurch
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League South

Bath City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawBath City
43.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.69% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.7% (0.0039999999999907 0)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)29.79% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)65.86% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 43.26%
    Bath City 31.1%
    Draw 25.63%
AFC HornchurchDrawBath City
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.25%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.1%

rhs 2.0


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