National League South Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Meadowbank Stadium
  • Alfie Rutherford 17' goal
  • Charlie Carter 18' goal
  • Jason Prior 55' goal
  • goal Femi Akinwande 43'

Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
Weston 1 - 1 Dorking
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Alfie Rutherford

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
Hornchurch 0 - 2 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Darren McQueen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Dorking Wanderers 47.56% (-0.05)
Draw 23.03% (+0.01)
AFC Hornchurch 29.41% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.18% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.26% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 38.74% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 38.95% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 61.04% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 21.3% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.69% (-0.02)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 83.38% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 16.61% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 53.56% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 46.43% (+0.03)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 74.57% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.42% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 39.75% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 60.24% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Dorking Wanderers 47.56%
Draw 23.02%
AFC Hornchurch 29.41%
Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 47.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.38% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.02%
AFC Hornchurch
1-2 @ 7.11% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.78% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 29.41%