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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
1 - 3
Leiston

Wraight (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jackson (66'), Loza (108' pen., 120')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between AFC Hornchurch and Leiston.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Leiston 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Leiston

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Leiston 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Leiston had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Leiston win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%).

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawLeiston
44.5%23.87%31.63%
Both teams to score 60.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41%41.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01%63.99%
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.06%18.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.55%50.45%
Leiston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56%25.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74%60.26%
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 44.5%
    Leiston 31.63%
    Draw 23.87%
AFC HornchurchDrawLeiston
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-1 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.63%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Third Round Qualifying
Leiston
1-1
Hornchurch
Kyran (90+5')
Nash (56')
rhs 2.0


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