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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Victory Road

Leiston
4 - 1
Waltham Abbey

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ogunnowo (89')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Leiston and Waltham Abbey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leiston

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Last Game: Leiston 1-3 Braintree
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Waltham Abbey

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Last Game: Leighton Town 2-3 Waltham Abbey
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leiston win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Waltham Abbey had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leiston win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Waltham Abbey win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leiston would win this match.

Result
LeistonDrawWaltham Abbey
48.87% (0.044000000000004 0.04)22.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.64% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.58% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)36.65% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)58.81% (0.052 0.05)
Leiston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)44.14% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Waltham Abbey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)24.87% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)59.47% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Leiston 48.87%
    Waltham Abbey 28.64%
    Draw 22.49%
LeistonDrawWaltham Abbey
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 48.87%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.64%