National League South | Gameweek 19
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Queen Elizabeth II Stadium (London)

Enfield Town
1 - 2
Hornchurch

Peake (39')
Thompson (47'), Payne (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Harvest (11'), Nash (16')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Enfield Town and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Enfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 1-1 Enfield Town
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League South

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Enfield Town had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Enfield Town win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Hornchurch would win this match.

Result
Enfield TownDrawAFC Hornchurch
24.93% (-1.002 -1)23.76% (-0.465 -0.47)51.31% (1.469 1.47)
Both teams to score 55.74% (0.539 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48% (1.175 1.18)45.52% (-1.173 -1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (1.112 1.11)67.85% (-1.109 -1.11)
Enfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)32.22% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.209 -0.21)68.71% (0.212 0.21)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (1.017 1.02)17.76% (-1.015 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.54% (1.726 1.73)48.46% (-1.724 -1.72)
Score Analysis
    Enfield Town 24.93%
    AFC Hornchurch 51.31%
    Draw 23.75%
Enfield TownDrawAFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 6.48% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-0 @ 3.67% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.93%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.292 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.58% (0.236 0.24)
0-3 @ 4.92% (0.232 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.118 0.12)
1-4 @ 2.41% (0.176 0.18)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.165 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.31%