National League South Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Liam Nash 14' goal
  • Will Greenidge 40' yellowcard
  • Giles Phillips 43' yellowcard
  • Mason Terry 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricky German 52'
  • yellowcard Teddy Howe 79'
  • redcard Teddy Howe 85'

AFC Hornchurch vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
Hornchurch 2 - 1 Torquay Utd
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Darren McQueen

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 2 - 5 Eastbourne
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Brandon Barzey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Hornchurch in this match.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 42.98% (+0.01)
Draw 26.56%
Hemel Hempstead Town 30.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.91% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.25% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 53.75% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 24.77% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 75.23% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 11.21% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.79% (+0.01)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 75.21% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.79% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.63%
Under 1.5 59.37% (+0.01)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.7% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.31% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.2% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 68.81% (+0.01)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 42.98%
Draw 26.56%
Hemel Hempstead Town 30.46%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 11.17% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 7.79% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.56%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 30.46%