National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
2 - 2
Chelmsford City

Akanbi (14'), Iaciofano (71')
Ajayi (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kalala (37'), Ruff (48')
Ruff (43')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Farnborough
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawChelmsford City
31.49% (0.131 0.13)23.82% (0.013000000000002 0.01)44.69% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 60.55% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)41.41% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.19% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)63.8% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (0.076000000000008 0.08)25.44% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (0.106 0.11)60.26% (-0.105 -0.1)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)18.79% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.79% (-0.108 -0.11)50.2% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 31.49%
    Chelmsford City 44.69%
    Draw 23.81%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.49%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 44.69%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Hemel Hemps.
1-4
Chelmsford City
Briscoe (32')
Alexander (3'), Francis (28'), Ruff (47', 50')
Sep 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Chelmsford City
1-2
Hemel Hemps.
Ruff (54')
Iaciofano (77' pen., 90+4')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Hemel Hemps.
0-0
Chelmsford City
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Chelmsford City
2-1
Hemel Hemps.
Jackson (50' pen.), Ruff (83')
Lelan (90')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Hemel Hemps.
2-2
Chelmsford City
Hughes (74'), Fonkeu (81')
Sheringham (11'), Rush (69')