Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.