National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
1 - 2
Farnborough

Foyo (13')
Kalala (13'), James (45+4'), Tamplin (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Matthews-Lewis (12'), Pendlebury (17')
Haigh (18'), Robinson (56'), Chin (66'), Bradshaw (90+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Barnet 4-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawFarnborough Town
44.65% (-0.225 -0.23)25.81% (0.238 0.24)29.54% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-0.77 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (-0.997 -1)51.13% (0.997 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.88 -0.88)72.98% (0.881 0.88)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.532 -0.53)22.83% (0.53 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.78899999999999 -0.79)56.56% (0.789 0.79)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39% (-0.523 -0.52)31.62% (0.522 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98% (-0.607 -0.61)68.02% (0.607 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 44.65%
    Farnborough Town 29.54%
    Draw 25.81%
Chelmsford CityDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 44.65%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.284 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.211 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.54%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Farnborough
1-1
Chelmsford City
Ghandour (25')
Ruff (45')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Chelmsford City
1-0
Farnborough
Mills (45')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Chelmsford City
3-2
Farnborough
Winfield (42'), Folivi (54', 89')
Bloomfield (9', 52')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Farnborough
0-1
Chelmsford City
Lodovica (84')