Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Truro City	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
32.61% ( 0.32)	26.09% ( -0.08)	41.29% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 53.24% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.86% (

0.41)

51.14% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.01% (

0.36)

72.99% (

-0.36)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5% (

0.41)

29.5% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49% (

0.5)

65.51% (

-0.5)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52% (

0.06)

24.48% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.06% (

0.09)

58.94% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Truro City 32.61%

Hemel Hempstead Town 41.29%

Draw 26.09%

Truro City	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.61%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.29%