Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
Truro City	Draw	Chesham United
37.1% ( -0)	27.37% ( 0)	35.52% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.71% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.13% (

0.01)

55.87% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.02% (

0.01)

76.98% (

-0.01)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99% (

29.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.09% (

64.91% (

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02% (

0.01)

29.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.91% (

0.01)

66.09% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Truro City 37.1%

Chesham United 35.52%

Draw 27.37%

Truro City	Draw	Chesham United
1-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.1%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.52%