National League South | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
1 - 1
Chippenham

Harvey (90+4')
Dean (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McClure (87' pen.)
Owen-Evans (32'), Gravata (90+1'), Henry (90+5')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Chippenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Truro City
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South

Chippenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 0-4 Chippenham
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Truro CityDrawChippenham Town
45.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)25.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)28.99% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.86% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)51.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)72.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)22.55% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.14% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 45.25%
    Chippenham Town 28.99%
    Draw 25.74%
Truro CityDrawChippenham Town
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.25%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.99%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Chippenham
0-0
Truro City
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Truro City
0-2
Chippenham
McClure (13', 66')