National League South | Gameweek 46

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
0 - 4
Hornchurch

FT(HT: 0-2)

Adams (23'), McQueen (37'), Balanta (49'), Pegrum (61')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chippenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Chippenham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions

Last Game: Hornchurch 2-0 Aveley
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Hornchurch would win this match.

Result
Chippenham Town	Draw	AFC Hornchurch
28.61% ( 0.01)	25.99% ( 0)	45.4% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.67% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.7% (

-0.01)

52.3% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01% (

-0.01)

73.99% (

0.01)

Chippenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.09% (

32.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.52% (

69.48% (

-0)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02% (

-0.01)

22.98% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.23% (

-0.02)

56.77% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Chippenham Town 28.61%

AFC Hornchurch 45.4%

Draw 25.99%

Chippenham Town	Draw	AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.61%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.4%