National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
2 - 0
Weston

Haines (62'), Spokes (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 4-1 Chippenham
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, April 15 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
23.02% (0.493 0.49)25.1% (0.146 0.15)51.88% (-0.638 -0.64)
Both teams to score 49.45% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)52.8% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-0.081 -0.08)74.42% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.08% (0.421 0.42)37.91% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.31% (0.403 0.4)74.69% (-0.401 -0.4)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (-0.295 -0.3)20.35% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25% (-0.475 -0.48)52.74% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 23.02%
    Weston-super-Mare 51.88%
    Draw 25.09%
Chippenham TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.78% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 3.63% (0.095 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.02%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 12.28% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.78% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.19% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 51.88%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 24
Weston
1-3
Chippenham
Reid (48')
Lewis (90+2')
Dawes (12', 54'), Parsons (30')
Lewis (90+4'), Spokes (90+4')
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Third Round Qualifying Replays
Weston
1-0
Chippenham
B. Bak (48')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Third Round Qualifying
Chippenham
1-1
Weston
Gravata (63')
Reid (51')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Weston
2-1
Chippenham
Willmott (45+3'), Reid (90' pen.)
Owen-Evans (20')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Chippenham
0-1
Weston
Mannings (40')