National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
1 - 1
Chesham

Coulson (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Minhas (72')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Chesham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Weston
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South

Chesham United

All competitions
Last Game: Chesham 1-0 St Albans City
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawChesham United
45.53% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)26.45%28.02% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.4% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22%75.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.83% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42% (0.0030000000000001 0)58% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)34.48% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.2% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 45.53%
    Chesham United 28.02%
    Draw 26.44%
Weston-super-MareDrawChesham United
1-0 @ 11.78%
2-1 @ 9% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 28.02%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Chesham
1-2
Weston
Stevens (84')
Stevens (45+1'), Adebiyi (71'), Rowe (88')
Coulson (55' pen., 90+3')
Dodd (73'), McCootie (80'), Thomas (90+5')