National League South | Gameweek 39

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Meadow

Chesham
1 - 0
St Albans City

Rolfe (45+2' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rasulo (87')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions

Last Game: Chesham 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

St Albans City

All competitions

Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesham United in this match.

Result
Chesham United	Draw	St Albans City
40.92% ( 0.22)	25.92% ( -0.04)	33.16% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.73% (

0.12)

50.27% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.78% (

0.11)

72.22% (

-0.1)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.72% (

0.17)

24.29% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34% (

0.23)

58.66% (

-0.23)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

-0.05)

28.71% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

-0.07)

64.54% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Chesham United 40.92%

St Albans City 33.16%

Draw 25.91%

Chesham United	Draw	St Albans City
1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.92%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.16%