National League South | Gameweek 29
Feb 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Meadow

Chesham
2 - 2
Salisbury

Minhas (69'), Lench (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Elliott-Wheeler (19'), Hedges (90+4')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Salisbury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
Last Game: Chesham 1-3 Enfield Town
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in National League South

Salisbury

All competitions
Last Game: Salisbury 1-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Chesham UnitedDrawSalisbury
41.3% (-0.704 -0.7)26.7% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)32.01% (0.785 0.78)
Both teams to score 51.13% (0.526 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (0.542 0.54)53.76% (-0.536 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (0.454 0.45)75.24% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (-0.12 -0.12)25.67% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-0.166 -0.17)60.57% (0.172 0.17)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (0.822 0.82)31.22% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (0.945 0.94)67.56% (-0.93899999999999 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Chesham United 41.29%
    Salisbury 32.01%
    Draw 26.69%
Chesham UnitedDrawSalisbury
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.29%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.01%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Salisbury
1-2
Chesham
Silva (5')
Wilkinson (32'), Ragguette (70'), Dore (79')
Grant (31'), Adebiyi (44')
Rowe (17'), Rolfe (65'), Adebiyi (68')