National League South | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
1 - 1
Chesham

Alves (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oliyide (55')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Chesham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Enfield Town 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chesham 2-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Bath CityDrawChesham United
32.58% (0.022000000000006 0.02)27.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.38% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)54.99% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)76.27% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.84% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)26.72% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)61.98% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 32.58%
    Chesham United 40.38%
    Draw 27.05%
Bath CityDrawChesham United
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.58%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 11.09%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.38%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Chesham
0-1
Bath City

Cawley (7')
Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (49')
Wiles-Richards (83')