National League South | Gameweek 11
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Meadow

Chesham
2 - 2
Chelmsford City

Rolfe (42'), Lench (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akanbi (37'), Hyde (53' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
Last Game: Chesham 2-0 Maidstone
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Chesham UnitedDrawChelmsford City
32.72% (-0.342 -0.34)27.12% (0.123 0.12)40.16% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 50.03% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (-0.544 -0.54)55.26% (0.549 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.51% (-0.448 -0.45)76.49% (0.453 0.45)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (-0.506 -0.51)31.5% (0.511 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (-0.59 -0.59)67.89% (0.595 0.59)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.13 -0.13)26.96% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7% (-0.173 -0.17)62.31% (0.179 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Chesham United 32.72%
    Chelmsford City 40.16%
    Draw 27.12%
Chesham UnitedDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.071 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.72%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.49% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.19% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.16%