National League South | Gameweek 24

Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Aveley

Foyo (39')
Oguntayo (57'), Ruff (90+6'), Kalala (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Beadle (90')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Chelmsford City
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Aveley

All competitions

Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Hornchurch
Thursday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Aveley
60.98% ( 0.09)	21.9% ( -0.04)	17.12% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.02% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.63% (

0.08)

47.37% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.41% (

0.08)

69.59% (

-0.07)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

0.06)

15.05% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.44% (

0.1)

43.56% (

-0.1)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.88% (

-0.01)

41.12% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.34% (

-0.01)

77.66% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 60.97%

Aveley 17.12%

Draw 21.89%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Aveley
1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 60.97%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.89%	0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 17.12%